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Stanbic September report bullish about economy; demand grows backed by credit growth

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The Stanbic Purchase Manager’s Index (PMI) for September shows that the private sector activity remained in the growth territory at the end of the third quarter of 2019.

The survey, sponsored by Stanbic Bank and produced by IHS Markit, indicates that ability of firms to secure additional customers resulted in higher new orders and a subsequent expansion of business activity. Meanwhile, both input costs and output prices continued to increase.

Benoni Okwenji, Stanbic Bank’s Fixed Income Manager

The headline PMI was 55.7 in September, down from 57.5 in August, but still above the 50.0 no-change mark.

Stanbic Bank Fixed Income manager Benoni Okwenje, stated that the Private sector activity remained solid at the end of the third quarter of 2019. Despite the PMI declining to 55.7 in September from 57.5 in August, overall activity remains robust.

“Domestic demand continues to improve, partially driven by private sector credit growth over the last year. Despite higher input costs, the rise in new orders has supported overall output. It has now been 32 months in a row of improving business conditions and we suspect this trend will carry through for the rest of the year,” said Okwenje.

The report shows that new orders increased in September, with a number of panelists indicating that they had been able to secure new customers during the month.

The survey, which has been conducted since June 2016 and covers the agriculture, industry, construction, wholesale & retail and service sectors, contains the latest analysis of data collected from the monthly survey of business conditions in the Ugandan private sector.

According to the PMI report for September, the expansion in demand, alongside successful marketing, led to a thirty-second successive monthly rise in business activity. All five broad sectors saw growth of output.

 “Purchasing activity continued to rise, extending the current sequence of expansion to 19 months. Faster suppliers’ delivery times meant that the increase in input buying fed through to an accumulation of inventories. Overall input prices increased, with panelists reporting higher costs for electricity and purchased items including cement, food products and stationery,” Okwenje added.

Companies responded to higher input costs by raising their output prices accordingly. Selling prices have increased throughout the 40-month survey so far.

The PMI report further states that the likelihood of continued new order growth and business expansion plans led to optimism among firms that output will rise over the coming year. “Over 74% of panelists were confident regarding the outlook,” the report showed in part.

About PMI

The PMI is a composite index, calculated as a weighted average of five individual sub-components: New Orders (30%), Output (25%), Employment (20%), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15%) and Stocks of Purchases (10%). Readings above 50.0 signal an improvement in business conditions on the previous month, while readings below 50.0 show a deterioration.

The headline figure derived from the survey is the Purchasing Managers’ Index™ (PMI™) which provides an early indication of operating conditions in Uganda.

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Ugandan travellers to China to enjoy better services with Orient Bank’s partnership with China’s UnionPay

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Mr. Tashin Morjaria (L), Orient Bank Head of Business Development and Mr. Michael Nsereko (R ) Orient Bank Head of e-banking join Mr. Shuan Ghaidan (C), UnionPay International Company Leader and Director of Products at the partnership launch at UnionPay Headquarters in Shanghai.

Orient Bank Uganda Limited and UnionPay International have announced a partnership in which all UnionPay Cards are now accepted at all ATMs and POS terminals of Orient Bank, one of the leading and fastest growing banks in Uganda.

Annoucing the partnership in Kampala today, Darshana Bhatia, Orient Bank Excutive Director said, “This is yet another demonstration of our commitment to anticipate and meet our customer needs through technology, innovation  and partnership. Uganda  and China enjoy a robust trading relationship which relies greatly on each country’s intergration into the global financial system if ease of doing business is to be attained.”

UnionPay International is accelerating the promotion of digitized payments in East Africa. Today, UnionPay has over 80% acceptance on ATMs in Uganda and over 85% acceptance on POS terminals.

Mr. Luping Zhang, General Manager of UnionPay International Africa Branch said, “This partnership will offer holders of UnionPay cards a seamless payment experiece. Based on this collaboration, the two sides will explore future cooperation in rolling out UnionPay’s innovative products, including UnionPay QR Code payment and B2B online payment.”

Orient Bank has continued its quest to provide fast, convenient and safe payment systems to serve its niche customers in SME and High Networth Banking Segments.

This partnership will further boost trade between Uganda and China as visitors from China will be able to process payments at Orient bank ATMs and Point of Sale terminals across various merchants .

In partnership with more than 2,000 institutions worldwide, UnionPay has enabled card acceptance in 176 countries and regions, and realised card issuance in 58 countries and regions. UnionPay provides high quality, cost effective and secure cross-border payment services to the world’s largest cardholder base and ensures convenient local services to a growing number of global UnionPay cardholders and millions of merchants.

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FINANCIAL DILEMMA: BoU needs fresh UGX 671bn in capital- Auditor General

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Bank of Uganda (BoU) is undercapitalised to a tune of UGX671.712Billion According to the Auditor General, John Muwanga this poses a risk to the Central Bank’s operations.

Auditor General, John Muwanga says this financial position poses a risk to the Central Bank’s operations

The details of the Central Bank’s woes are contained in the 2018/2019 audit report of Bank of Uganda which carries queries that were raised by the Auditor General’s team.

The audit report highlighted that as per the Bank of Uganda Act, Section 14 (3), the issued and paid up capital of the Bank shall be a minimum of UGX 2 Trillion but as of June 30, 2019, the core capital of the Bank was below the minimum required capital by UGX671.712Billion while in the same period in 2018, the Central Bank was undercapitalized to a tune of UGX482.730Billion.

The audit report further explains that the operating losses of the Bank during the year ended June 30, 2019 were mainly attributable to interest expense paid to financial institutions on deposit auctions and vertical repos issued by the Bank in the management of monetary policy as per the Bank’s mandate and currency costs of UGX 198.274Bn which is equivalent to 89 % of the interest income) yet in 2018 the loss was recorded at UGX 155Bn representing 79% of the interest income.

The Central Bank management has explained that the costs of implementation of monetary policy that have caused erosion of the Bank’s core capital are currently fully borne by the Bank.

“I considered this to be a key audit matter because inadequate capital poses a business risk to the Bank and its operations. I performed the following audit procedures in this area, among others,”Muwanga cautioned.

The Central Bank also reported that during the period between July 2018 to June 2019, the Non-Executive Directors were each paid UGX.5Million net of tax per month as retainer fees and UGX2.5million net of tax per meeting as their sitting allowance.

The Central Bank’s board comprises of Prof. Emmanuel Tumusiime-Mutebile who doubles as Board Chairman and Governor, Dr. Louis Kasekende, James Kahoza, William Kalema, Judy Obitre Gama, Keith Muhakanizi and Josephine Okui Ossiya.

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Afriland First Bank Uganda and Opportunity Bank Uganda Limited Given License To Operate As Commercial Banks

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Bank of Uganda has awarded licenses to 2 new Commercial banks. The banks, Afriland First bank Uganda Limited and Opportunity Bank Uganda limited have been given licenses to start operations effective September 12th and 13th respectively.

This makes the total number of commercial banks in Uganda, 26.

Afriland First bank is a new institution in Uganda’s banking sector. The bank was founded in Cameroon in 1987 and is the biggest financial services group in that country.

Opportunity Bank started as a Tier 3 Banking institution called Faulu. Back in 2009, the company carried out a rebranding campaign after selling shares to Opportunity International and changed its name to Opportunity Uganda Limited.

Prior to its change in status as of September 13th 2019, Opportunity Bank Uganda Limited was a Tier 2 Banking Institution and has now transformed into a Commercial bank.

Back in 2018, the Central bank faced a parliamentary probe over the controversial sale and even closure of several banks since the 90s. Today it confirms the arrival of two new Banks in the sector.

ALSO READ: https://www.ceo.co.ug/what-do-we-know-about-opportunity-bank-ugandas-latest-commercial-bank-which-you-probably-did-not-know/

The move to license Opportunity and Afriland First is evidence to the sector’s strength as it seems there is room from lower tier Banks and new ones to join in, and also a vote of confidence in Bank of Uganda which has not had a very good run thanks to scandals and Parliamentary probes starting in 2018.

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