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The NCBA Windfall: Shareholders Set for a Windfall if Stanbic Seals the Takeover If Stanbic’s takeover of NCBA materialises, the biggest winners will be its top shareholders — including First Chartered Securities, Enke Investments, and the Ndegwa and Kenyatta families. Together, they stand to unlock billions in paper gains as the deal’s premium lifts NCBA’s valuation into East Africa’s next banking powerhouse.

A photo collage of former Kenyan president Uhuru Kenyatta, NCBA Group chairman James P. M. Ndegwa, NCBA Group managing director John Gachora, and former Kenyan minister, the late Simeon Nyachae, whose family maintains a substantial holding in NCBA Group. If Standard Bank, which trades as Stanbic in Uganda and Kenya, takes over NCBA Group, the key figures above, whose families are represented by different individuals as shareholders, will be some of the biggest beneficiaries from either a windfall in the form of a payout or a shareholder value addition derived from an enlarged regional banking powerhouse.
A photo collage of former Kenyan president Uhuru Kenyatta, NCBA Group chairman James P. M. Ndegwa, NCBA Group managing director John Gachora, and former Kenyan minister, the late Simeon Nyachae, whose family maintains a substantial holding in NCBA Group. If Standard Bank, which trades as Stanbic in Uganda and Kenya, takes over NCBA Group, the key figures above, whose families are represented by different individuals as shareholders, will be some of the biggest beneficiaries from either a windfall in the form of a payout or a shareholder value addition derived from an enlarged regional banking powerhouse.

If the long-rumored Stanbic–NCBA merger or buyout becomes reality, NCBA shareholders could emerge as the biggest winners in East Africa’s next major banking shake-up. The market already seems to agree. When news of a possible deal surfaced this week, NCBA’s market value jumped from about UGX 2.9 trillion to UGX 3.15 trillion in a single day, while its share price surged nearly 9%. Year-to-date, the stock has risen 56%, and over the past 12 months, it has gained nearly 78%, a clear sign that investors are betting on a major payout. Large takeovers typically come with a buyout premium of…

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